One of the two drivers of Reliance Industries Ltd's recent underperformance - weak refining margin - has reversed but the other, poor-retail top-line growth, is difficult to anticipate, brokerage JP Morgan said in a report.
Reliance stock is down 22 per cent from its peak on July 8 (NIFTY down 3.3 per cent), sharply reversing outperformance from earlier in the year.
In a market where most stocks are trading well above historical valuations, Reliance's fair relative valuations are an attraction.
The company helmed by billionaire Mukesh Ambani has three main business verticals - oil refining and petrochemical business housed in oil-to-chemical (O2C) unit, telecom arm Jio and retail. It also has a media unit and a new energy business.
Reliance Retail plus Telecom now account for about 50 per cent of total 2023-24 (FY24) consolidated EBITDA. These, JP Morgan estimates, will account for almost all of net EBITDA growth over the next three years. With an EBITDA run-rate of USD 20 billion