Without clear frontrunners, this weekend’s awards ceremony could offer a string of surprises. Will it be Wicked or Emilia Pérez? The Brutalist or Conclave?

• Golden Globes 2025: the full list of nominations

After the nominations for this weekend’s Golden Globes were announced last month, there seemed to be an equal mix of cheers and jeers. For every egregious, and racially troubling, snub (Marianne Jean-Baptiste, RaMell Ross, Danielle Deadwyler) there was a pick that showed an embrace of a more international set (Payal Kapadia, Coralie Fargeat, Fernanda Torres). The attempt to “fix” the Globes after years of controversy seems to be an ongoing process.

In a year with fewer sure things than we’re accustomed to, who might triumph on Sunday?