BoM path track map predicts TC Alfred will cross coast on Saturday near Brisbane, the first storm of its size to do so in decades. Follow the latest updates today

• Why did Tropical Cyclone Alfred slow down on its path towards the east coast?
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• Brisbane flood map: suburbs at risk during Cyclone Alfred

As we’re all now beginning to realise, Alfred is slow moving and not entirely predictable in its movements. The past few hours underline this.

At one point in the night – according to the update at 11pm AEST – it appeared to do another turn away from the coast and was 240km off the coast. At 7pm it had been 225km east of Brisbane.