Chance, demographics or even people reluctant to voice support for Trump could all be reasons for discrepancy

In the weeks leading up to the 2024 presidential election, Guardian polling averages showed Kamala Harris winning an incredibly close race. Still, Donald Trump won, showing that yet again his volume of support was underestimated.

Though Guardian US averages had Harris winning, the final result was within the margin of errors for high-quality polls conducted this election cycle.