Weekly Market Review

Dalal Street saw its worst week in over 2 years with Nifty & the Sensex down over 4 per cent, the biggest weekly fall since June of 2022. With this the BSE-listed companies have wiped out nearly Rs 20 lakh crore in investor wealth. 

From the start of the week, the market followed a downtrend trajectory, with benchmark indices closing at lower levels compared to the previous day’s closing, driven by concerns over sustained selling pressure from the Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and anticipation surrounding the US Federal Reserve’s key policy announcement.

Jerome Powell at a news conference in Washington

Coming to the actual outcome, Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered what the street was expecting: a 25 bps rate cut, bringing it to the range of 4.25-4.50 per cent, but the commentary by him turned out to be hawkish. The Fed now projects just two rate cuts next year as compared to four previously expected. The fewer rate cuts in the coming year spooked the global markets including India.

However, he said they are very optimistic about the economy, calling the recent performance ‘remarkable’. They have, in fact, raised the GDP outlook for this year to 2.50 per cent and 2.10 per cent in 2025 from the earlier 2.0 per cent in the September meeting.

Coming to the domestic market, we had some positive news coming in terms of macro-economic numbers. The net direct tax collection till 17th December 2024 rose to 16 per cent YoY to Rs 15.82 lakh crore while advance tax collection rose 21 per cent to Rs 7.56 lakh crore during the period.

We expect corporate earrings to remain positive after strong advance tax collection.

We also had December Service PMI coming to a 4-month high at 60.8 vs 58.4 the previous month, Manufacturing PMI surging to a 2-month high at 57.4 vs 56.5 and Composite PMI during the month of December reported a 4-month high at 60.7 vs 58.6 the previous month. The Wholesale Inflation (WPI) fell to a 3-month low of 1.89 per cent vs 2.36 per cent the previous month against the consensus expectation of 2.1 per cent.

Earlier, we had December inflation decreasing to 5.48 per cent from 6.21 per cent in the previous 14 months, and November IIP growing 3.5 per cent, a 3-month high, likely to boost market sentiment. Strong economic data suggests that a recovery from lower levels is possible.

With this, let me present to you our weekly portfolio review.         

How Did the Markets Fare Last Week?

On a weekly basis, which ended on Friday, the Indian benchmark indices ended flat. Sensex and Nifty were down ~5.0 per cent each, while Midcaps were down 3.2 per cent.

Crude and FII Flows

Brent crude oil prices traded around USD 73/bbl as expectation for the fewer interest rate cut by the Fed next year boosted the dollar. On the other hand, FIIs continue to remain net sellers.

Sector in Focus

Pharma, FMCG and Realty remained in focus during the week.

BSE-listed Companies Market Cap Hits $5 Trillion Mark For First Time

Stocks That Made Headlines During The Week

KPI Green:

SpiceJet:

BASF:

IOL Chemicals:

Ambuja Cement:

Cellecor Gadgets:

Exide Industries:

Texmaco Rail & Engineering:

RVNL:

Gravita:

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