Labour are on par with Reform while the Conservatives are just one point ahead in a damning new poll on the UK’s voting intentions.
The Tories are ahead on 25% while Labour and Reform are on 24%, according to research from More in Common and published by Politico.
The Liberal Democrats trail behind all three on 12% – despite having 72 MPs to Reform’s 5 – while the Greens are on 8% and the SNP on 3%.
More in Common also found prime minister Keir Starmer’s personal net approval rating dropped to -39, which is the lowest the pollsters have ever recorded for him.
It’s even approaching his predecessor Rishi Sunak’s low point of -41 in July 2024, which was when the former PM lost the general election.
But Tory leader Kemi Badenoch and Reform leader Nigel Farage have also seen a decline in their net approval ratings in recent months – Badenoch is on -18 and Farage -17.
More in Common asked the public who they would prefer as their prime minister – and the results did not exactly correspond with the voting intentions.
Starmer was in the lead with 21%, while Farage followed with 20% and Badenoch came in last with 12% – while a whopping 47% said they wanted none of the three main party leaders to sit in No.10.
Our latest @Moreincommon_ voting intention in today's Playbook finds a virtual 3 way tie with 1 point separating the Tories, Reform and Labour.
— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) January 15, 2025
???? Con 25% (-1)
???? Lab 24% (-2)
➡️ Ref UK 24% (+2)
???? Lib Dem 12% (-)
???? Green 8% (+1)
???? SNP 3% (-)
N= 2102, 10-13/1 Change w 8/1 pic.twitter.com/axOsQVyhP1
It comes as Starmer is already grappling with a floundering economy and the resignation of his second minister in just over six months.
Tulip Siddiq quit as the anti-corruption minister on Tuesday over her links to her aunt, Sheikh Hasina, who was recently deposed as the prime minister of Bangladesh and is currently under investigation for corruption.
A fact-finding probe found Siddiq had not broken the ministerial code, but she announced she was stepping down because she did not want to be a “distraction” to the government.
Meanwhile, inflation continues to hover above the 2% mark – having dropped to 2.5% in December – while government borrowing costs remain high and the pound has fallen in value.