Hamas, Hezbollah and other militia are enfeebled – but Palestine is likely to stay at forefront of global politics

• Middle East crisis – live updates

The ceasefire that – barring a major last-minute problem – is due to come into force on Sunday will cement massive and rapid changes across the Middle East and may seal a significant defeat for the Islamist militant groups which have been powerful actors in the region for years.

Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon and assorted Shia Muslim militia in Iraq and Syria will all emerge from the conflict considerably weakened. Only the Houthis in Yemen are stronger – though this may not last. The Islamic State remains a shadow of its former self.